Florida State
W-L: (52-10) PR = 97.4758Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 2- 0 206 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 12- 3 207 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 6- 2 207 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 10- 2 208 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 6- 0 210 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 8- 0 212 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2- 3 213 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 9- 5 214 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 11- 7 215 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 9 217 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 8- 0 220 H Dartmouth IVY ( 0- 5, 91.7) 10- 2 220 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 221 H Dartmouth IVY ( 0- 5, 91.7) 8- 0 221 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 5 222 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 9- 2 225 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 3- 8, 87.6) 14- 0 226 H Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 5- 3 226 H Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 12- 3 228 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 2- 0 228 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 5- 1 304 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 1- 7, 88.9) 7- 1 306 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 20- 8 307 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 5- 2 308 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 17-11 311 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 8- 4 313 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 12- 1 314 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 13- 1 315 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 11- 6 320 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 12- 2 321 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 9- 0 322 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 9- 1 324 H North Florida ASUN ( 6- 5, 93.8) 8- 0 327 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 4- 2 328 H Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 4- 3 329 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 7- 3 402 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 7- 2 403 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 10- 0 404 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 8- 4 408 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 11- 3 410 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 8- 9 411 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 7 412 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 5- 6 417 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 8- 4 418 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 6- 1 419 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 10- 2 422 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 3- 1 424 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 4- 0 425 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 4- 3 426 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 8- 2 428 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 3- 7 501 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 10- 0 502 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 8- 0 503 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 8- 0 507 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 2- 1 508 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 9- 0 509 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 2- 1 515 H Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 3- 8 516 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 11- 0 516 A Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 11- 3 517 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 2- 1 517 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 2- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Samford 2- 0 2 8 -- -5.84
206 H Iowa 12- 3 9 5 + 3.74
207 H Marshall 6- 2 4 4 -0.35
207 H Marshall 10- 2 8 4 + 3.65
208 H UConn 6- 0 6 7 -0.82
210 H Liberty 8- 0 8 6 + 2.15
212 A Texas Tech 2- 3 -1 -3 1.51
213 A Florida Atlantic 9- 5 4 2 1.92
214 H UCLA 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.33
215 H Tennessee 1- 9 -8 1 --- -9.30
217 H Louisiana 8- 0 8 5 + 3.00
220 H Dartmouth 10- 2 8 7 1.44
220 H Alabama 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.08
221 H Dartmouth 8- 0 8 7 1.44
221 H Alabama 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.08
222 A Ole Miss 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.57
225 H Florida A&M 14- 0 14 11 + 3.37
226 H Florida Gulf Coast 5- 3 2 9 --- -6.56
226 H Florida Gulf Coast 12- 3 9 9 0.44
228 H Rutgers 2- 0 2 5 - -2.77
228 H Rutgers 5- 1 4 5 -0.77
304 H Jacksonville 7- 1 6 9 - -3.33
306 A Coastal Carolina 20- 8 12 5 +++ 6.75
307 A Coastal Carolina 5- 2 3 5 - -2.25
308 A Coastal Carolina 17-11 6 5 0.75
311 H South Alabama 8- 4 4 6 -1.84
313 H Syracuse 12- 1 11 9 1.67
314 H Syracuse 13- 1 12 9 + 2.67
315 H Syracuse 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.33
320 H California 12- 2 10 7 + 3.11
321 H California 9- 0 9 7 + 2.11
322 H California 9- 1 8 7 1.11
324 H North Florida 8- 0 8 4 + 3.58
327 H Colorado State 4- 2 2 7 -- -4.79
328 H Marist 4- 3 1 9 --- -7.92
329 A Clemson 7- 3 4 3 1.18
402 H Notre Dame 7- 2 5 5 -0.23
403 H Notre Dame 10- 0 10 5 ++ 4.77
404 H Notre Dame 8- 4 4 5 -1.23
408 A Santa Clara 11- 3 8 6 1.58
410 A Stanford 8- 9 -1 0 -1.40
411 A Stanford 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.40
412 A Stanford 5- 6 -1 0 -1.40
417 H North Carolina 8- 4 4 4 -0.43
418 H North Carolina 6- 1 5 4 0.57
419 H North Carolina 10- 2 8 4 + 3.57
422 H Florida 3- 1 2 1 1.47
424 A Georgia Tech 4- 0 4 2 + 2.10
425 A Georgia Tech 4- 3 1 2 -0.90
426 H Louisiana 8- 2 6 5 1.00
428 H Missouri 3- 7 -4 4 --- -7.72
501 A Boston College 10- 0 10 6 + 3.67
502 A Boston College 8- 0 8 6 1.67
503 A Boston College 8- 0 8 6 1.67
507 H Georgia Tech 2- 1 1 3 - -2.38
508 H Stanford 9- 0 9 2 +++ 7.11
509 H Virginia Tech 2- 1 1 1 -0.19
515 H Stetson 3- 8 -5 7 --- -11.71
516 A Jacksonville State 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.03
516 A Stetson 11- 3 8 5 + 2.77
517 H UCF 2- 1 1 2 -0.97
517 A UCF 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.48
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Tennessee 1- 9 -8 1 --- -9.30 220 H Alabama 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.08 226 H Florida Gulf Coast 5- 3 2 9 --- -6.56 328 H Marist 4- 3 1 9 --- -7.92 428 H Missouri 3- 7 -4 4 --- -7.72 515 H Stetson 3- 8 -5 7 --- -11.71 205 H Samford 2- 0 2 8 -- -5.84 315 H Syracuse 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.33 327 H Colorado State 4- 2 2 7 -- -4.79 411 A Stanford 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.40 221 H Alabama 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.08 228 H Rutgers 2- 0 2 5 - -2.77 304 H Jacksonville 7- 1 6 9 - -3.33 307 A Coastal Carolina 5- 2 3 5 - -2.25 507 H Georgia Tech 2- 1 1 3 - -2.38 517 A UCF 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Coastal Carolina 20- 8 12 5 +++ 6.75 508 H Stanford 9- 0 9 2 +++ 7.11 516 A Jacksonville State 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.03 214 H UCLA 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.33 222 A Ole Miss 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.57 403 H Notre Dame 10- 0 10 5 ++ 4.77 206 H Iowa 12- 3 9 5 + 3.74 207 H Marshall 10- 2 8 4 + 3.65 210 H Liberty 8- 0 8 6 + 2.15 217 H Louisiana 8- 0 8 5 + 3.00 225 H Florida A&M 14- 0 14 11 + 3.37 314 H Syracuse 13- 1 12 9 + 2.67 320 H California 12- 2 10 7 + 3.11 321 H California 9- 0 9 7 + 2.11 324 H North Florida 8- 0 8 4 + 3.58 419 H North Carolina 10- 2 8 4 + 3.57 424 A Georgia Tech 4- 0 4 2 + 2.10 501 A Boston College 10- 0 10 6 + 3.67 516 A Stetson 11- 3 8 5 + 2.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 2- 0 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.41 7.41
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 12- 3 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.41 9.50
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 6- 2 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.41 10.24
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 10- 2 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.41 10.24
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 6- 0 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.41 8.23
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 8- 0 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.41 9.02
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2- 3 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.41 -0.02
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 9- 5 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.41 12.09
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 11- 7 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.41 14.86
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 9 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.41 -0.76
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 8- 0 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.41 9.71
3 H Dartmouth ( 0- 5, 91.7) 10- 2 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.41 8.45
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.41 -0.31
3 H Dartmouth ( 0- 5, 91.7) 8- 0 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.41 8.45
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 5 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.41 -0.31
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 9- 2 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.41 12.61
3 H Florida A&M ( 3- 8, 87.6) 14- 0 -12.31 7.06 -0.74 0.41 5.13
3 H Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 5- 3 -10.24 9.13 -0.74 0.41 6.82
3 H Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 12- 3 -10.24 9.13 -0.74 0.41 6.82
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 2- 0 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.41 9.90
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 5- 1 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.41 9.90
3 H Jacksonville ( 1- 7, 88.9) 7- 1 -11.01 8.36 -0.74 0.41 6.19
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 20- 8 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.41 9.51
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 5- 2 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.41 9.51
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 17-11 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.41 9.51
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 8- 4 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.41 9.03
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 12- 1 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.41 6.19
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 13- 1 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.41 6.19
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 11- 6 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.41 6.19
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 12- 2 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.41 8.18
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 9- 0 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.41 8.18
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 9- 1 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.41 8.18
3 H North Florida ( 6- 5, 93.8) 8- 0 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.41 10.19
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 4- 2 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.41 8.26
3 H Marist ( 3-10, 89.3) 4- 3 -10.60 8.77 -0.74 0.41 6.53
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 7- 3 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.41 11.49
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 7- 2 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.41 9.53
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 10- 0 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.41 9.53
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 8- 4 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.41 9.53
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 11- 3 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.41 8.56
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 8- 9 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.41 -0.57
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 7 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.41 -0.57
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 5- 6 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.41 -0.57
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 8- 4 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.41 10.18
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 6- 1 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.41 10.18
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 10- 2 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.41 10.18
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 3- 1 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.41 13.35
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 4- 0 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.41 12.23
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 4- 3 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.41 12.23
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 8- 2 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.41 9.71
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 3- 7 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.41 -1.25
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 10- 0 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.41 8.63
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 8- 0 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.41 8.63
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 8- 0 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.41 8.63
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.41 11.03
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 9- 0 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.41 12.24
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 2- 1 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.41 12.81
3 H Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 3- 8 -8.40 10.97 -0.74 0.41 -1.86
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 11- 0 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.41 12.18
3 A Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 11- 3 -8.40 10.97 0.74 0.41 9.53
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 2- 1 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.41 12.18
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 2- 4 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.41 -0.59
------
486.92
|
winning pts = 493.7322 losing points = -6.8079
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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